As the various parties gear up to attack each other on populist
matters, the polls will show various minor trends. The Netanyahu Likud
coalition was unwieldy with an incapability to govern. Yair Lapid, the
ex-Finance Minister in this coalition, claims that the reforms that he wished
to institute did not even begin as his hands were tied by PM Netanyahu, with
whom he had great differences. It is doubtful, with his inexperience in economic and
financial matters he would have succeeded anyway.
The election propaganda has reached a new low with the Likud and
Zionist Camp accusing each other of getting funds illegally from various US
The electoral system in Israel
The Zionist Camp under Isaac Herzog and Tzippi Livni does not
stand a chance of winning the elections. The Israeli Electorate wants a change
but when it comes to the push, they will not allow anything that is associated
with the mild left of center to replace a Likud Coalition. Better the devil you
do know than the devil you do not know! Electoral results have been a
disappointment for many years and government coalitions of compromise will
become more complex, leaving Israel
If, by some miracle, the two major parties, Likud and Zionist Camp,
receive an equal number of mandates, there is a chance that both parties will
form a coalition, pulling in other right wing parties such as Bayit Hayehudi,
Haredi Parties, Yisrael Beteinu (despite many of its members under police
investigation for bribery and corruption), Moshe Kahlon's Kolanu and possibly
Yair Lapid’sYesh Atid. After elections, parties that were non-supportive of
Netanyahu or even against him will become potential coalition partners. Labor
and Likud have formed coalition governments in the past and the possibility of
this happening again cannot be ruled out.
After close-call elections, there is a tendency for the two large
opposing parties to reiterate that "the nation has voted for the Zionist
Camp and Likud, giving them a total draw, therefore supporting a coalition of
both parties". A coalition of these two parties may please many voters.
This coalition, if it is formed, will be a lame-duck government! No reforms
will occur and the coalition will be hampered by bickering and an inability to
make bold decisions in the economic spheres and, no less important, negotiating
peace with the Palestinians.
The parties that will not join this coalition will be the Joint
Arab List (Balad, Hadash, Ram-Tal) and Meretz. Both parties have stated this
clearly. Other small parties leaning towards the right may or may not join this
coalition, depending on the coalition agreements that the two major parties –
Likud and Zionist Camp will work out. This will also take a few months and will
involve a caretaker government ruling until the formation of a new (or pseudo-old)
coalition.
Unfortunately, the Palestinian leadership is hampered by all kinds
of fantasies that prevent them from even embarking on a move towards
negotiations with Israel Palestinian Street Middle East ,
including the Palestinian fight for an independent state, any scenario is
possible including the worst. The Hamas fantasies of Israel
Despite these uncertain scenarios, Israel
The Palestinian terrorist attacks against Israelis, as well as
Operation Protective Edge, have made the Israeli Electorate more right wing in
their voting patterns. PM Netanyahu is viewed by many as being strong on
security while the left are seen as weak and soft on terror. The Israeli left
wing parties such as Meretz will be forced into the margins of influence in
Israeli politics. The Joint Arab List will probably be a political force to be
reckoned. The Zionist Camp will not take them into the coalition if they win
for fear of upsetting the “Zionist apple cart”. Both the center right and
center left will do their utmost to disregard the Joint Arab List, who will
probably be the fourth biggest political party in the Knesset after the elections.
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